28/5/13

Daily report 28-05-2013


Manos Chatzidakis <mchatzidakis@beta.gr> 28 Μαΐου 2013 - 9:40 π.μ.
    Market Comment

General Index ended positive yesterday after a volatile session with moderate gains of 0.36%. Turnover came to 88.7 million euros, once again without the trading of National Bank and on a bank holiday for London and New York, compared to last Friday’s 78.2 million. Domestic trend was dominated by the banking sector while the advancers/losers ratio was more balanced. For today we expect consolidation moves near current levels as the market may focus more to corporate announcements regarding Q1 results and trade the support levels on banking stocks.

       In the Spotlight

Greece: Greece’s travel balance of payments recorded a surplus of 14 million euros in March, down by 2.0 million euros compared with the same month in 2012, reflecting a 14 pct decline in travel proceeds to 137 million euros and a 14.1 pct decline in travel payments to 123 million euros, the Bank of Greece said on Monday. Average spending per travel fell by 14.5 pct while tourist arrivals grew by 0.5 pct in the same month. The re travel balance of payments in the January-March period recorded a surplus of 66 million euros, from a deficit of 7.0 million euros in the same period last year, reflecting a 21.3 pct decline in travel payments and a 3.7 pct fall in travel proceeds. In the three- month period, tourist arrivals were up 4.6 pct.

Alpha bank: As of today, the trading of the of the Alpha bank ceases following the recent share capital increase carried out in the form of a rights issue. The expiration date of the pre-emption right’s subscription period is set on May 31, 2013. In other news Alpha bank announced that there was strong demand for the private placement (€95m) if the capital raise from investors which covered the offer by four times.
 
Motor oil (Results 3M 2013): Motor oil announced Q1 results below market expectations. Adverse domestic demand (automotive fuels, heating oil), less favourable sales (exports at 69.2% vs 53.4%) kept operational performance at lower levels. Also in Q1 bottom line is negatively affected by inventory losses (-8m) FX losses (€11m) and one off deferred tax charge of €15m. On top line utilisation rate posted another record quarter (110%), cash flow was negatively affected by increase in inventories resulting an increase in net debt by similar amount (€203m). We note that in the upcoming AGM the board will propose special dividend (capital return of €0.10 per share) on top of the already proposed €0.30.
Motor oil’s management will host a conference call today at 17:30. To join the call, you may dial in 0800953 0329 (UK) or 00800 4413 1378 (GR) or +44 1452 542 301 (US).

Motor oil
Results Q1 2013 (Reported)
In thous. Euro
2012
2013
Δ
Sales
2.303.583 
2.190.939 
-4,9%
EBITDA
92.848 
45.869 
-50,6%
(% of sales)
4,03% 
2,09% 
-194 bps
Net Income
39.935 
-12.125 
-130,4%
(% of sales)
1,73% 
-0,55% 
-229 bps

Hellenic Exchanges (Results 3M 2013): Hellenic Exchanges posted as expected a soft quarter in line with market expectations. Consolidated net after tax profits amounted to €4m vs. €4.8m in Q1 2012, reduced by 16.5%. Total operating revenue increased by 1.7% to €8.85m in Q1 2013 vs. €8.7m in Q1 2012. On the other hand, total consolidated revenue dropped by 17.3% (€8.6m vs. €10.4m). It should be noted that in Q1 2012 the company booked €2m in non-recurring revenue.

The average capitalization of the Greek capital market increased by 24% in Q1 2013 compared to Q1 2012 (€36.4bn vs. €29.4bn), while the average daily traded value was €65.3m, compared to €61.5m, a 6% increase. On the other hand, market liquidity dropped by 21.4%, with the average daily volume at 40m shares in Q1 2013 vs. 50.8m shares in Q1 2012. In the derivatives market, the average daily number of contracts increased by 18% (62.7 thousand vs. 76.7 thousand).

The operating expenses of the Group were reduced by 13.6% in Q1 2013, amounting to €3.9m vs. €4.5m in Q1 2012, whereas total operating expenses including new activities, was reduced by 11.9% in Q1 2013, to €4.1m vs. €4.7m in the corresponding period last year. The Group’s EBT in Q1 2013 amounted to €5.3m vs. €6.7m in the corresponding period last year, reduced by 19.8%. Based on data up to and including 24.5.2013, the average daily traded value in Q1 2013 amounted to €94.1m.


Hellenic Exch.
Results Q1 2013
Estimates Q1'13
In thous. Euro
2012
2013
Δ
 3M 13 E
Δ (Est)
Sales
10,425 
8,618 
-17.3%
8,900
-3.2%
EBITDA
5,739 
4,489 
-21.8%
4,650
-3.5%
(% of sales)
55.05% 
52.09% 
-296 bps
52.25%
-16 bps
Net Income
4,832 
4,034 
-16.5%
4,050
-0.4%
(% of sales)
46.35% 
46.81% 
+46 bps
45.51%
+130 bps

Fourlis (Results 3M 2013): Fourlis will release its Q1 results tomorrow after the bell. Market consensus doesn’t expect significant variations from Q1 last year as Greece’s retail sales remained under pressure (-17% furniture, clothing -11%). Bottom line is expected to remain in red (€4.5m) while revenues is seen 6% lower to €85m

Aegean Air (3M 2013 Results): Revenue for the first quarter of 2013 reached €115.9m, 11% higher compared to the same quarter of last year. Pre-tax losses narrowed to €8.2m compared to losses of €31.2m in 2012. Higher load factors in international routes and further cost management efforts were the main contributors to the improvement. Net result after taxes was a loss of €1.2m against losses of €25m in 2012, given the additional positive impact of a €5m rise in deferred tax assets, derived from the increase in tax rate to 26% from 20%. AEGEAN carried 1 million passengers in the first quarter of 2013, achieving an increase in its average load factor to 70.5% from 65.3%. Passengers on international flights reached 585 thousand, rising by 7% versus 2012. Domestic traffic fell by 13%, with average fares declining by a further 9% for a fifth consecutive year as a result of declining local GDP. Cash and cash equivalents reached €160m as of 31.03.2013.

Aegean air
Results Q1 2013
In thous. Euro
2012
2013
Δ
Sales
104,583 
115,853 
10.8%
EBITDA
-30,317 
-4,273 
-85.9%
(% of sales)
-28.99% 
-3.69% 
+2,530 bps
Net Income
-24,981 
-1,239 
95.0%
(% of sales)
-23.89% 
-1.07% 
+2,282 bps

Elval (3M 2013 results): The increased sales volume in the rolling sector and the improved product mix led in the strengthening of the Group's results despite the charge of high energy cost which reduces significantly our competitiveness on international markets. Consolidated sales amounted to euro 259 million, having been increased by 8.7%, gross profits amounted to euro 20 million from euro 14.7 million compared with the first quarter of 2012, while consolidated earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) increased by 33% to euro 21 million from euro 15.8 million. Furthermore improved financial results, due to lower average borrowing, resulted in an increase in profit before taxes to euro 6.7 million from euro 0.9 million in the first quarter of 2012.

Due to the increase in the income tax rate from 20% to 26%, the recalculation of deferred tax of the Group resulted in a deferred tax loss of euro 11.8 million, which incurred fully the results of the first quarter, and finally, profit before taxes was turned into loss after taxes and non-controlling interests of euro 7.2 million. The enhanced activity of the Group resulted in an increase in necessary working capital and consolidated operating outflows amounted to euro 9 million, while investment outflows amounted to euro 7.4 million. The Group's net debt amounted to euro 226.3 million, increased by 7.9% from euro 209.7 million in December 2012.

ELVAL
Results Q1 2013
In thous. Euro
2012
2013
Δ
Sales
238,554 
259,351 
8.7%
EBITDA
15,795 
21,040 
33.2%
(% of sales)
6.62% 
8.11% 
+149 bps
Net Income
1,723 
-7,183 
-516.9%
(% of sales)
0.72% 
-2.77% 
-349 bps


Other Q1 results :

Kanakis
Results Q1 2013
In thous. Euro
2012
2013
Δ
Sales
3,945 
3,740 
-5.2%
EBITDA
334 
320 
-4.2%
(% of sales)
8.47% 
8.56% 
+9 bps
Net Income
217 
163 
-24.9%
(% of sales)
5.50% 
4.36% 
-114 bps

Kiriakides
Results Q1 2013
In thous. Euro
2012
2013
Δ
Sales
8,762 
7,021 
-19.9%
EBITDA
3,313 
2,854 
-13.9%
(% of sales)
37.81% 
40.65% 
+284 bps
Net Income
1,561 
849 
-45.6%
(% of sales)
17.82% 
12.09% 
-572 bps

Hygeia
Results Q1 2013
In thous. Euro
2012
2013
Δ
Sales
64,237 
63,398 
-1.3%
EBITDA
5,800 
9,121 
57.3%
(% of sales)
9.03% 
14.39% 
+536 bps
Net Income
-2,289 
-3,640 
-59.0%
(% of sales)
-3.56% 
-5.74% 
-218 bps



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