4/9/14

Gold retains modest gains, but stays near 2-1/2 month low




AP
Gold clung to small overnight gains on Thursday on some safe-haven bids due to the Ukraine crisis, but the metal continued to trade near 2-1/2 month lows as brighter prospects for the U.S. economy dimmed its appeal.

Investors were waiting for a European Central Bank meeting later in the day to see whether it will deliver a fresh round of policy stimulus, and its impact on the euro and the dollar.

Spot gold was little changed at $1,268.28 an ounce by 0040 GMT. The metal had fallen to a 2-1/2 month low of $1,261.19 on Wednesday, before recovering modestly to close up 0.3 percent.

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President Vladimir Putin outlined plans for a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine on Wednesday, but Ukraine's prime minister dismissed the proposal, while France expressed its disapproval of Moscow's support for separatist forces by halting delivery of a warship.

Gold, seen as an alternative investment during times of geopolitical and financial uncertainties, has gained 5 percent this year largely on tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East.
But in recent weeks, a string of encouraging U.S. economic data, a stronger dollar and weak physical demand in Asia have pressured bullion.

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Data on Wednesday showed new orders for U.S. factory goods posted a record gain in July and auto sales last month accelerated to their highest level in 8-1/2 years, offering further bullish signals for the economy.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund and a good measure of investor sentiment, said its holdings fell 2.69 tons to 790.51 tons on Wednesday.
U.S. non-farm payrolls data due on Friday will be closely watched for further clues about the economy and the outlook for the Federal Reserve's monetary stimulus.

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On Thursday, all eyes will be on the ECB policy meet. The ECB is under strong pressure to tackle stubbornly low inflation at a time when the conflict in Ukraine threatens to destabilize the region's fragile recovery.
The euro on Wednesday recovered modestly from one-year lows against the dollar, but traders said euro bears were just taking a breather ahead of the ECB meet.  

Any further weakening of the euro would hurt gold. 

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