Stocks eke out gains but taper uncertainty weighs; BBRY skids 16%
By: JeeYeon Park | CNBC.com Stock Market Writer
Stocks closed out Monday with slight
gains after hovering around the flatline for most of the session, as
investors seemed reluctant to jump in after the Dow and S&P 500
turned in four-straight weeks of gains and amid uncertainty over when
the Federal Reserve would start paring back its stimulus.
(Read more: S&P 500 heading to 1,820: Laszlo Birinyi) Earlier, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told CNBC the central bank's current $85-billion-a-month in bond purchases is a "torrid pace," adding "it's a very reasonable thing to do to substitute for the fact that you can't lower interest rates any further."
(Read more: S&P 500 heading to 1,820: Laszlo Birinyi) Earlier, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told CNBC the central bank's current $85-billion-a-month in bond purchases is a "torrid pace," adding "it's a very reasonable thing to do to substitute for the fact that you can't lower interest rates any further."
| Name | Price | Change | %Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJIA | Dow Jones Industrial Average | 15639.12 | 23.57 | 0.15% | |||
| S&P 500 | S&P 500 Index | 1767.93 | 6.29 | 0.36% | |||
| NASDAQ | Nasdaq Composite Index | 3936.59 | 14.55 | 0.37% |
The Dow Jones Industrial Average squeezed out a gain of 23.57 points to end at 15,639.12, buoyed by ExxonMobil and Merck.
The S&P 500 climbed 6.29 points to finish at 1,767.93. The S&P logged its 15th time in the black in 19 sessions. And the Nasdaq rose 14.55 points to close at 3,936.59.
The Dow and S&P are on pace for their biggest annual percentage gains since 2003.
Meanwhile, the Dow Transportation index rose to hit a record high.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, ended near 13.
All key S&P sectors closed in positive territory, led by telecoms and energy.
(Read more: Why this sectorcould be a big risk to the rally)
Closing Bell Exchange
Dissecting the markets,
valuation, and financials, with Gemma Godfrey, Brooks MacDonald Asset
Management; Erin GIbbs, S&P Capital IQ; and Hank Smith, Haverford
Investments.
"The bulls are making the case that we're
up 25 percent for the year and in most cases, you run even further in
the final two months—people are talking about 1,850 on the S&P,"
said Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services.
"We're up 25 percent for the year and we haven't been up that much
since 1997. So no to dampen the parade, but we want to keep an eye on frothiness."
Last week, the Fed's monetary committee noted that it saw improvement in economic activity and labor market conditions but had "decided to await more evidence that progress will be sustained before adjusting the pace of its purchases."
(Read more: Yellen to meet with GOP before confirmation)
The central bank is not expected to begin tapering until 2014, a delay partly due to data and partly due to the recent political impasse over government spending.
Investors will also be looking for further clues from the government's monthly employment report due at the end of the week.
Economists expect to see 125,000 jobs added according to economists polled by Reuters, which would be the second-lowest number of jobs added of 2013, and that the unemployment rate has ticked up to 7.3 percent from 7.2 percent.
On the economic front, August factory orders slipped 0.1 percent following a 2.4 percent drop in July orders, while September factory orders climbed 1.7 percent, in line with estimates, according to the Commerce Department.
"I don't think the stock market is anywhere close to a bubble," Thomas Lee, chief U.S. equity strategist at JPMorgan told CNBC. "The median P/E in the market today is under 15 times and high yields tell us that the P/E should be over 17 times right now. So we're still trading at a huge discount and in terms of economic growth, I don't see any evidence that we're peaking."
Lee has a 1,775 year-end target on the S&P 500, but says the level will "not be any obstacle" for the market.
"There's a tilt that's going to happen back into cyclicals into year end. Some of the hedge funds are starting to increase their exposure to cyclical stocks, especially basic materials."
Last week, the Fed's monetary committee noted that it saw improvement in economic activity and labor market conditions but had "decided to await more evidence that progress will be sustained before adjusting the pace of its purchases."
(Read more: Yellen to meet with GOP before confirmation)
The central bank is not expected to begin tapering until 2014, a delay partly due to data and partly due to the recent political impasse over government spending.
Investors will also be looking for further clues from the government's monthly employment report due at the end of the week.
Economists expect to see 125,000 jobs added according to economists polled by Reuters, which would be the second-lowest number of jobs added of 2013, and that the unemployment rate has ticked up to 7.3 percent from 7.2 percent.
On the economic front, August factory orders slipped 0.1 percent following a 2.4 percent drop in July orders, while September factory orders climbed 1.7 percent, in line with estimates, according to the Commerce Department.
"I don't think the stock market is anywhere close to a bubble," Thomas Lee, chief U.S. equity strategist at JPMorgan told CNBC. "The median P/E in the market today is under 15 times and high yields tell us that the P/E should be over 17 times right now. So we're still trading at a huge discount and in terms of economic growth, I don't see any evidence that we're peaking."
Lee has a 1,775 year-end target on the S&P 500, but says the level will "not be any obstacle" for the market.
"There's a tilt that's going to happen back into cyclicals into year end. Some of the hedge funds are starting to increase their exposure to cyclical stocks, especially basic materials."
Retail investor attracted to market: Pro
How the markets might end the
year, with Michael Cuggino, Permanent Portfolio Family of Funds
president, and Robert Pavlik, Banyan Partners chief market strategist.
BlackBerry said it is abandoning a plan to sell itself
and will instead raise some $1 billion and replace its chief executive,
according to reports from the Globe and Mail newspaper. Shares plunged
more than 15 percent after being temporarily halted.
Johnson & Johnson dipped after the drugmaker said it will pay $2.2 billion to the government to end multiple investigations into kickbacks to pharmacists and the marketing of pharmaceuticals for off-label uses.
Weyerhaeuser gained after the forest products company said it will merge its homebuilding division with Tri Pointe Homes in a deal valued at $2.7 billion dollars.
Among earnings, Kellogg ticked higher after the food manufacturer reported a gain in quarterly profit, thanks to a decline in cereal-making costs, and said it would cut nearly 7 percent of its workforce by 2017.
Anadarko Petroleum and Marathon Oil are among notable companies slated to post earnings after the closing bell.
Twitter raised its expected IPO price range to between $23 and $25 a share at 70 million shares, according to an SEC filing, up from a previously expected range of between $17 and $20 a share. Twitter's IPO is set to price on Wednesday, with shares trading on the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday.
(Poll: How will Twitter close on day one of trade?)
Johnson & Johnson dipped after the drugmaker said it will pay $2.2 billion to the government to end multiple investigations into kickbacks to pharmacists and the marketing of pharmaceuticals for off-label uses.
Weyerhaeuser gained after the forest products company said it will merge its homebuilding division with Tri Pointe Homes in a deal valued at $2.7 billion dollars.
Among earnings, Kellogg ticked higher after the food manufacturer reported a gain in quarterly profit, thanks to a decline in cereal-making costs, and said it would cut nearly 7 percent of its workforce by 2017.
Anadarko Petroleum and Marathon Oil are among notable companies slated to post earnings after the closing bell.
Twitter raised its expected IPO price range to between $23 and $25 a share at 70 million shares, according to an SEC filing, up from a previously expected range of between $17 and $20 a share. Twitter's IPO is set to price on Wednesday, with shares trading on the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday.
(Poll: How will Twitter close on day one of trade?)
—By CNBC's JeeYeon Park (Follow JeeYeon on Twitter:
On Tap This Week:
TUESDAY: ISM non-mfg index, Fed's Lacker speaks, Fed's Williams speaks; earnings from CVS, Michael Kors, Mosaic, Tesla, LiveNation, OpenTable
WEDNESDAY: Mortgage applications, Challenger job-cut report, leading indicators, oil inventories, Fed's Pianalto speaks, Samsung investors conf.; Earnings from Toyota, Chesapeake Energy, Ralph Lauren, Time Wanre, Qualcomm, Activision Blizzard, CBS, WholeFoods
THURSDAY: GDP, jobless claims, productivity & costs, Fed's Stein speaks, natural gas inventories, consumer credit, chain store sales; Earnings from Beazer, Wendy's, Disney, Priceline.com, Groupon, Nvidia, Annie's
FRIDAY: Nonfarm payrolls, personal income & statement, consumer sentiment, Fed's Williams speaks, McDonald's Oct. sales
More From CNBC.com:
@JeeYeonParkCNBC
On Tap This Week:
TUESDAY: ISM non-mfg index, Fed's Lacker speaks, Fed's Williams speaks; earnings from CVS, Michael Kors, Mosaic, Tesla, LiveNation, OpenTable
WEDNESDAY: Mortgage applications, Challenger job-cut report, leading indicators, oil inventories, Fed's Pianalto speaks, Samsung investors conf.; Earnings from Toyota, Chesapeake Energy, Ralph Lauren, Time Wanre, Qualcomm, Activision Blizzard, CBS, WholeFoods
THURSDAY: GDP, jobless claims, productivity & costs, Fed's Stein speaks, natural gas inventories, consumer credit, chain store sales; Earnings from Beazer, Wendy's, Disney, Priceline.com, Groupon, Nvidia, Annie's
FRIDAY: Nonfarm payrolls, personal income & statement, consumer sentiment, Fed's Williams speaks, McDonald's Oct. sales
More From CNBC.com:
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