|
Market Comment
After three negative sessions and cumulative losses 9.5% for FTSE-25
(General Index -6.2%) domestic market seems to approach a reaction node as
volumes reduced and the daily balance between advancers/losers came to an
equilibrium. However sharp correction in Asian markets earlier this morning may
limit the range of reaction despite short term oversold picture in the banking
sector. Thus we would expect another volatile session driven mostly by
international trend.
In the Spotlight
Greek Banks: Greek bank reliance on European Central Bank liquidity stood at
EU60.9b at the end of April, compared with EU70.7b at the end of March,
according to Bank of Greece. Emergency Liquidity Assistance, which is extended
by the BoG was EU33.4b vs EU21.2b in March.
Greece/Building materials: Building materials' prices fell by 1.4 pct in April this year,
reflecting lower fuel prices, Hellenic Statistical Authority (ELSTAT) said on
Wednesday. This development attributed to a 13.1 pct decline in diesel oil
prices, a 4.5 pct fall in windows, a 4.0 pct decline in steel pipes, a 2.9 pct
fall in cement, a 2.8 pct decline in doors and an 1.8 pct decline in elevators,
while on the other hand electricity prices rose 12.3 pct, bricks rose 4.9 pct
and plastic pipes rose 3.4 pct.
Greece/Public debt: Greek central government debt at end of 1Q stood at EU309.4b vs
EU305.5b at end of 2012. Cash reserves in 1Q stood at EU7b vs EU5.9b at
end-2012.
National Bank: Today is the last trading day for National Bank as the
number of shares will be reversed by 10:1 ratio. Trading will resume next
Thursday 30/5 while the stock will be traded ex-rights. Rights will also start
trading the same day.
OPAP (Results 3M 2013): OPAP will announce its 1Q13 results today
after market close.
According to consensus, the company is expected to announce
a net profit of 39 million in the first quarter from 132 million the same period
last year. Results are negatively affected by the new tax regime on gross profit
(30%) the taxation of winnings from the 1st euro and the agent strike
(5 days). We expect Stihima to post high double digit reduction (20%) while Kino
will post single digit reduction (~5%). A conference call with financial
analysts will take place tomorrow at 16:00 Athens time. To join the call, you may dial in
+44 (0) 800 376 9250 (UK) or +30 211 1802000 (GR) or +1 866
288 9315 (US).
OPAP
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Estimates Q1 2013
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In thous. Euro
|
2013
|
2013 E
|
Δ
|
Sales
|
1,065,230
|
883,750
|
-17.0%
|
EBITDA
|
184,379
|
59,850
|
-67.5%
|
(% of sales)
|
17.31%
|
6.77%
|
-1,054 bps
|
Net Income
|
131,906
|
39,050
|
-70.4%
|
(% of sales)
|
12.38%
|
4.42%
|
-796 bps
|
Greece/Current accounts: Greece's current account deficit shrank by 51 pct in the first quarter of
2013 to 2.3 billion euros, from 4.8 billion euros in the corresponding period
last year, the Bank of Greece said on Wednesday. This positive development
attributed to a reduction of the country's trade deficit by 1.35 billion euros
in the January-March period, as exports receipts grew 4.1 pct and import
payments fell by 5.2 pct in the three-month period. In March 2013, the current account
balance showed a deficit of 1.3 billion euros, down by 952 million (or 42.5 pct)
year-on-year. This development is mainly due to declines in the trade deficit
and the income account deficit. The trade deficit contracted by 365 million
euros, mainly as a result of a 377 million decrease in the net oil import bill.
Net payments for purchases of ships increased by 26 million euros and the trade
deficit excluding oil and ships shrank by a mere 14.5 million euros on the back
of a lower import bill (down by 91 million or 5.0 pct), while the corresponding
export receipts fell in March (by 77 million or 6.6
pct).
Hellenic Postbank: The Bank of Greece has determined Hellenic Postbank SA’s funding gap
is smaller than original estimate of EU4.09b according to press reports. New
Hellenic Postbank will have assets of EU10.9b and liabilities of EU14.6b.
Difference between liabilities and assets, or funding gap, to be covered by
Greece’s bank recapitalization
fund
Autohellas (Results 3M 2013): Autohellas reported Q1 revenues of € 29mn (-8%), EBITDA of € 12.4mn
(- 10.6%) and net loss of € 4.8mn vs losses of € 1.1mn. OpCF after WC stood at €
7.1mn (-19.4%) due to 45% higher capex on vehicles, as the company gears up
ahead of a good tourism season.
Autohellas
|
Results
Q1 2013
| ||
In thous.
Euro
|
2012
|
2013
|
Δ
|
Sales
|
31.477
|
28.996
|
-7,9%
|
EBITDA
|
13.801
|
12.340
|
-10,6%
|
(% of sales)
|
43,84%
|
42,56%
|
-129
bps
|
Net
Income
|
-1.085
|
-4.773
|
-339,9%
|
(% of sales)
|
-3,45%
|
-16,46%
|
-1.301
bps
|
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